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Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

FCX

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. engages in the mining of mineral properties in North America, South America, and Indonesia. It primarily explores for copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and other metals. The company's assets include the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Chino and Tyrone in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado, North America, as well as Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. was formerly known as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and changed its name to Freeport-McMoRan Inc. in July 2014. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

61.20

Current Price (1 Share)

Simulation Period:

Probability of Gain

62.10%

Likelihood price is higher in 1 year.

Most Likely Price (Median)

$71.06

Expected value in volatility-neutral scenario.

Risk (95% VaR)

$33.74

Worst case (5th percentile) outcome.

Monte Carlo Projection (1 Year)

Discounted Cash Flow Model

10-Year Discounted Cash Flow valuation with WACC & Sensitivity Analysis.

Fair Value Estimate
$65.96
+7.77% Upside
Buy Target (20% Safety)
$52.77

Valuation Scenarios

Conservative
$49.83
Higher WACC (+0.5%), Lower Growth (-0.5%)
Base Case
$65.96
Standard Assumptions
Optimistic
$87.69
Lower WACC (-0.5%), Higher Growth (+0.5%)

Key Assumptions

Target Margin
20%
WACC
9.79%
Delta NWC
2%
Term Growth
2%
Tax Rate
30%
Rev Growth
15%

Scorecard

2.2
Growth
1.0/5
Profitability
3.0/5
Valuation
2.5/5

Analyst Verdict

High Volatility Warning
Premium Valuation vs Peers
High Growth Forecast (>15%)
High Downside Risk (>15%)
Up 121% from 52W Low

Fundamentals

Sector
Basic Materials
P/E Ratio
40.26Industry Avg: 20.22
Div Yield
1.02%
Market Cap
87.96B
Volatility
High VolatilityBeta: 1.44
EPS (TTM)
$1.52
52W High$69.75
52W Low$27.66
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Financial Insights

News Sentiment (Real-Time)Buy
Buy (4)Hold (4)Sell (2)
Last Earnings Surprise
+46.66%
Vs Estimate: $0.32
Beat

"Freeport-McMoRan is nearing its first-quarter earnings announcement, with consensus forecasts signaling a strong triple-digit surge in earnings."

Next Year Growth Est.
21.77%

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