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Kinross Gold Corporation

KGC

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

31.51

Current Price (1 Share)

Simulation Period:

Probability of Gain

96.70%

Likelihood price is higher in 1 year.

Most Likely Price (Median)

$73.02

Expected value in volatility-neutral scenario.

Risk (95% VaR)

$34.15

Worst case (5th percentile) outcome.

Monte Carlo Projection (1 Year)

Discounted Cash Flow Model

10-Year Discounted Cash Flow valuation with WACC & Sensitivity Analysis.

Fair Value Estimate
$28.45
-9.72% Overvalued
Buy Target (20% Safety)
$22.76

Valuation Scenarios

Conservative
$23.20
Higher WACC (+0.5%), Lower Growth (-0.5%)
Base Case
$28.45
Standard Assumptions
Optimistic
$35.41
Lower WACC (-0.5%), Higher Growth (+0.5%)

Key Assumptions

Target Margin
25%
WACC
10.06%
Delta NWC
2%
Term Growth
2%
Tax Rate
22.68%
Rev Growth
12%

Scorecard

4.4
Growth
5.0/5
Profitability
4.7/5
Valuation
3.5/5

Analyst Verdict

High Volatility Warning
Up 183% from 52W Low

Fundamentals

Sector
Basic Materials
P/E Ratio
16.16Industry Avg: 17.95
Div Yield
0.43%
Market Cap
37.88B
Volatility
High VolatilityBeta: 1.32
EPS (TTM)
$1.95
52W High$39.11
52W Low$11.12
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Financial Insights

News Sentiment (Real-Time)Buy
Buy (8)Hold (1)Sell (1)
Last Earnings Surprise
+21.80%
Vs Estimate: $0.55
Beat

"Kinross Gold (KGC) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report."

Next Year Growth Est.
8.57%

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